Model the true cost of each path. See how equity and investment returns diverge over your time horizon, and find where the two lines cross.
Buying
$
%
$130,000 down
%
%/yr
%/yr
$190/mo
$/mo
$/yr
$667/mo
%
$19,500 at closing
%/yr
Renting
$/mo
%/yr
$/mo
%/yr
Applied to the renter's investment portfolio
How long you plan to stay
Used for after-tax IRR
%
%
Month 1 Cost Breakdown
True cost of each path in the first month
Buying
Mortgage P&I$3,373/mo
Property tax$596/mo
Home insurance$190/mo
Home upkeep$667/mo
Total$4,825/mo
Renting
Monthly rent$3,200/mo
Renters insurance$20/mo
Total$3,220/mo
$1,605/mo more to buy than to rent in month 1
Buyer Equity vs. Renter Portfolio: $650,000 Home over 10 Years
Buyer: home equity. Renter: investment portfolio value (down payment + savings, compounded).
Where Your Mortgage Payment Goes
Interest vs. principal by year over the full 30-year loan term
$694,178
total interest paid over 30-year loan term
The Verdict
After-tax IRR over your 10-year horizon
Renting is the stronger financial path over 10 years.
Buying returns 9.4% annually after tax vs. 11.1% for renting, a 1.7 percentage point advantage for renting over your 10-year horizon.
Buyer IRR
9.4%
After-tax proceeds: $366,803
Renter IRR
11.1%
After-tax proceeds: $429,395
IRR reflects annualized return on initial capital (down payment + closing costs) assuming sale at end of horizon. Does not account for mortgage interest deductions or alternative investment strategies.
How Sensitive Is This?
IRR advantage by home appreciation rate vs. market return rate, at your selected time horizon
Market Return
Home Appreciation
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
5%
+5.5% rent
+2.6% rent
+0.0% rent
+2.0% buy
+3.7% buy
6%
+6.4% rent
+3.4% rent
+0.9% rent
+1.1% buy
+2.8% buy
7%
+7.2% rent
+4.3% rent
+1.7% rent
+0.2% buy
+2.0% buy
8%
+8.1% rent
+5.2% rent
+2.6% rent
+0.7% rent
+1.1% buy
9%
+9.0% rent
+6.1% rent
+3.5% rent
+1.6% rent
+0.2% buy
Each cell reruns the full projection at that combination of rates. All other inputs are held constant.